Fiscal crises head list of business risks in World Economic Forum survey

Economic issues dominate concerns for business executives around the world, according to the World Economic Forum’s report entitled ‘Regional Risks for Doing Business 2019’. In a survey of nearly 13,000 business leaders in over 130 countries, respondents ranked “fiscal crises” as the leading risk to doing business at a global scale.

Globally, three of the Top Five risks are economic-related with unemployment or underemployment coming in third and energy price shock ranking fourth. These risks have strong links to social disruption and contribute to failure of national governance ranking fifth and profound social instability ranking sixth.

Cyber attacks are the second biggest challenge for executives, and the most important one for European and North American businesses for the second year in a row, duly highlighting the increased sophistication and proliferation of this type of attack.

Environmental-related risks are the top concerns in South Asia and in East Asia and the Pacific, with both regions having suffered devastating natural disasters and extreme weather events. Social challenges rank high in Eurasia, affected by economic slowdown, and Latin America and in the Caribbean, where Governments are still aiming to deliver critical social services.

In the Middle East and North Africa, energy price shock leads due to ongoing price and production volatility, and in sub-Saharan Africa, where youth unemployment is above 13%, executives are worried by their economies’ inability to create jobs. While global co-operation is still the most effective tool to address these varying risks, the report’s mapping highlights the areas in which regions can act.

Concerned by fiscal resilience

“At a time when global economic growth appears fragile, business leaders are deeply concerned by their governments’ fiscal resilience,” said Emilio Granados-Franco, head of global risks and the geopolitical agenda at the World Economic Forum. “Meanwhile, cyber threats remain a major risk due to their rapid evolution and increasingly disruptive potential. In examining risk at the regional level, we also see various nterconnected drivers shaping diverse risks landscapes. Only by addressing economic risks and societal, technological and environmental risks in an integrated manner can stakeholders truly build resiliency.”

John Drzik, president of global risk and digital at Marsh, added: “Cyber security remains the most concerning risk to business leaders in advanced economies. Growing technology dependence for many businesses will only amplify that concern. Combined with fractious geopolitical developments and growing economic concerns, executives face a very challenging portfolio of potential threats. Business leaders should re-evaluate their underlying view of the global risk environment and make greater efforts to strengthen their corporate agility and resilience.”

Eugenie Molyneux, chief risk officer for commercial insurance at the Zurich Insurance Group, explained: “There’s a real existential threat to businesses worldwide. Executives are concerned that Governments have too much debt to be able to afford measures that could help avoid a recession. They view cyber attacks as the Number One risk in 16 economies representing over 40% of the world’s GDP. At the same time, businesses are not even factoring in the impact of climate change over the next decade. These three risks need urgent action.”

*The ‘Regional Risks for Doing Business 2019’ report is published in partnership with Marsh & McLennan Companies and the Zurich Insurance Group and is part of the World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Initiative (a workstream that analyses critical global risks and communicates these risks to stakeholders and the wider public through digital and media assets)

About the Author
Brian Sims BA (Hons) Hon FSyI, Editor, Risk UK (Pro-Activ Publications) Beginning his career in professional journalism at The Builder Group in March 1992, Brian was appointed Editor of Security Management Today in November 2000 having spent eight years in engineering journalism across two titles: Building Services Journal and Light & Lighting. In 2005, Brian received the BSIA Chairman’s Award for Promoting The Security Industry and, a year later, the Skills for Security Special Award for an Outstanding Contribution to the Security Business Sector. In 2008, Brian was The Security Institute’s nomination for the Association of Security Consultants’ highly prestigious Imbert Prize and, in 2013, was a nominated finalist for the Institute's George van Schalkwyk Award. An Honorary Fellow of The Security Institute, Brian serves as a Judge for the BSIA’s Security Personnel of the Year Awards and the Securitas Good Customer Award. Between 2008 and 2014, Brian pioneered the use of digital media across the security sector, including webinars and Audio Shows. Brian’s actively involved in 50-plus security groups on LinkedIn and hosts the popular Risk UK Twitter site. Brian is a frequent speaker on the conference circuit. He has organised and chaired conference programmes for both IFSEC International and ASIS International and has been published in the national media. Brian was appointed Editor of Risk UK at Pro-Activ Publications in July 2014 and as Editor of The Paper (Pro-Activ Publications' dedicated business newspaper for security professionals) in September 2015. Brian was appointed Editor of Risk Xtra at Pro-Activ Publications in May 2018.

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